SCIENCE

What the asteroid with a 1-in-48 chance of hitting Earth in 2032 looks like (images)

It might not look like much in this image, but this is the asteroid that has made a major news impact in 2025. That’s because this space rock, designated asteroid 2024 YR4, has a 1-in-48 chance of impacting Earth in 2032.

For obvious reasons, astronomers are desperate to learn as much as they can about 2024 YR4, estimated to be as large as 177 feet wide (54 meters wide). That’s around as wide as Cinderella’s Castle in Walt Disney World Florida is tall.

The image featured here was captured on Feb. 7, 2025 by the 8.1-meter Gemini South telescope that’s located on Cerro Pachón, a mountain in the Chilean Andes. At the time the image was taken, the asteroid was around 37 million miles (59.5 million kilometers) from Earth and 130 million miles (209 million kilometers) from the sun.

“I find 2024 YT4 to be extremely exciting!” Bryce Bolin, the NASA Goddard Space Flight Center astronomer who helped capture this image, told Space.com. “Not only because of its notoriety but for the scientific potential of studying such a small asteroid in high detail.

“Only a few asteroids have been studied like this.”

The asteroid 2024 YR4 as seen by the 8.1 meter Gemini South telescope on Feb. 7, 2025 (Image credit: Catalina Sky Survey/LPL/Dr. Wierzchos/Bryce Bolin)

“We took 12 200-second long exposures in the Red band and tracked the motion of the asteroid to obtain these images,” Bolin explained. “The observations were difficult for three reasons. Firstly, the asteroid was faint, requiring the use of large telescopes to observe.”

Bolin explained the second difficulty surrounded the fact that 2024 YR4 was observed when the moon was 70% illuminated, meaning there was a considerable increase in sky background light compared to typical darker conditions. This made it more challenging to detect such a faint and distant object.

Finally, Bolin added that the asteroid was moving 0.26 arcseconds per minute, which necessitated careful tracking with Gemini South to avoid trailing losses.

A gif showing a white blob going across the screen. There are lots of other white dots throughout.

The discovery image of asteroid 2024 YT4 taken by ATLAS on Dec. 27, 2024 (Image credit: ATLAS)

This isn’t the first image of asteroid 2024 YT4. The asteroid was first discovered by the NASA-funded Asteroid Terrestrial-impact Last Alert System (ATLAS) on Dec. 27, 2024.

Soon after its discovery, the asteroid raced to the top of NASA’s Center for Near Earth Objects Studies (CNEOS) Sentry impact risk table. The asteroid has remained there ever since, with the odds of impact in seven years climbing.


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