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GM’s EV Sales Surge 40% As Tesla Stumbles; Can Ford Reverse F-150 Slide?

General Motors (GM) on Tuesday reported that its total U.S. auto sales saw a slight rebound in the second quarter. But the carmaker’s EV sales rocketed, in a possible sign that the anticipated ramp in production of newer electric vehicles is finally here.

Ford Motor (F), a leader in pickup trucks alongside GM, will be looking to revive sales of the F-150 truck, its cash cow, when it reports Q2 sales.




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Automakers — including GM, Toyota Motor (TM), Honda Motor (HMC) and Chrysler parent Stellantis (STLA) — are reporting new vehicle sales in the U.S. market for the second quarter on Tuesday. Their EV and hybrid sales will be watched as they try to shift away from traditional combustion-engine cars.

Early Tuesday, Tesla (TSLA) surpassed expectations for global Q2 deliveries, but its sales fell for a second straight quarter. Tesla stock jumped above a key level. Tesla startup rival Rivian (RIVN) reported Q2 deliveries of electric vehicles as well.

For Q2, analysts at Cox Automotive expected GM to be No. 1 by sales volume but see a slight share decrease. They projected Toyota would deliver one of the largest Q2 sales gains and the largest share gain among major automakers. They forecast that Stellantis will see sharp Q2 sales and share declines. The June 19 cyberattack at software provider CDK could put a dent in overall sales results.

Here is how analysts at Cox Auto expect automakers to perform. The estimates show Q2 sales estimates and results by volume, as well as sales growth or declines vs. Q2 2023.

General Motors Achieves EV Sales Record

Q2 sales estimate: 697,804 vehicles, up 1.2% year over year.

Results: GM delivered 696,086 vehicles in Q2, up 0.6% vs. a year ago. Though its Q2 auto sales edged up a fraction, General Motors touted its best auto sales quarter since Q4 2020, as well as record quarterly EV sales. The company delivered 21,930 EVs, up 34% vs. Q1 2024 and up 40% vs. Q2 2023.

Sales of new, Ultium-based EVs drove those gains, led by the Cadillac Lyriq, which saw more than 7,200 deliveries in the quarter, up 441% vs. a year ago. Older Bolt EV sales plunged 90%. Electric vehicles remain a small though growing part of GM’s overall business, making up 3% of Q2 sales. The company has been trying to speed up output of newer EVs, after battery bottlenecks and other supply-chain issues.

For the first six months of 2024, GM reported 1,290,319 vehicle deliveries, down 0.4%. It had reported in April that Q1 sales dropped 1.5%.

GM stock lost 5 cents to 46.64 in Tuesday’s stock market action. Shares have made little progress after clearing a buy point of 46.16 from a flat base on June 10.

The auto giant will report Q2 earnings on July 23 before the market open.

Toyota Sales

Q2 sales estimate: 642,902 vehicles, up 21.5% year over year.

Results: Toyota sold 621,549 vehicles in Q2, up 9%. Sales of hybrid vehicles and electric vehicles totaled 247,347, up 63%. Those EV and hybrid sales made up 40% of Toyota’s total Q2 U.S. sales.

Toyota Motor stock rose 0.7% on Tuesday. Shares are below a falling 50-day moving average.

Ford Sales

Q2 sales estimate: 551,527 vehicles, up 4.5% year over year.

Results: Check back later.

In the first five months of 2024, Ford’s F-series trucks saw a 7.6% sales decline, including a 10.2% drop in Q1. The F-150 truck is Ford’s top seller and the company’s profit center. Ford hopes to stem the sales decline with a new F-150 model. Sales of the new F-150, as well as a new Ranger model, began in March.

The new F-150, Ford says, is a “big play for us across gas, hybrid and electric vehicle segments of our business.” Ford stock investors will look for signs it is delivering on those hopes when the company reports Q2 auto sales and EV sales, likely in coming days.

In Q1, GM reported selling 197,000 full-size pickup trucks, growing its share in the segment. By comparison, Ford sold 152,943 F-series trucks that quarter. Ford sold more than 252,000 trucks last quarter in total, including the Maverick compact truck.

Ford stock was flat at 12.76, holding above the recently retaken 50-day line.

Honda Sales

Q2 sales estimate: 365,719 vehicles, up 5.4% year over year.

Results: Check back later.

Honda stock shed 1.4%, just below a falling 50-day line.

Tesla, Rivian EV Sales

Analysts at Cox Auto expected Tesla to deliver 148,462 EVs in the U.S. market, down 15.3% vs. a year ago and up from Q1’s 140,187. They did not provide estimates for Rivian deliveries.

On Tuesday, Rivian said it produced 9,612 electric vehicles and delivered 13,790 EVs in Q2, in line with its expectations. The company backed full-year production guidance for 57,000 EVs.

For context, Rivian produced 13,980 EVs and delivered 13,588 EVs in the first quarter. The EV startup said it will report its Q2 earnings on Aug. 6 after the market close.

Tesla said Tuesday that it delivered 443,956 vehicles in Q2 while it produced 410,831 units. The EV giant delivered a combined 422,405 Model 3 and Model Y units along with 21,551 “other” vehicles. The total is down 4% compared to last year’s 466,140 deliveries. However, it is a 15% increase compared to Q1.

Rivian stock popped 4% on Tuesday, but it’s still just below the 200-day average. Tesla stock jumped 9% above the 200-day line.

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