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U.S. stocks higher in cautious trading ahead of inflation report, bank earnings


U.S. stock indexes continued to move higher on Wednesday as technology stocks looked to extend gains ahead of the December inflation report, which should offer more clues on when the Federal Reserve can dial back its almost two-year effort to tighten monetary policy.

How stock indexes are trading

  • The S&P 500
    SPX
    rose 25 points, or 0.5%, to 4,782.

  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average
    DJIA
    was up 134 points, or 0.5%, at 37,659.

  • The Nasdaq Composite
    COMP
    gained 120 points, or 0.8%, to reach 14,978.

On Tuesday, the Dow Jones fell 0.4%, to 37,525.16, while the S&P 500 declined 0.2%, to 4,756.50, and the Nasdaq Composite gained less than 0.1% to end at 14,857.71.

What’s driving markets

Inflation, along with its impact on bond markets and the Federal Reserve’s monetary-policy trajectory, is the primary focus for markets this week as investors await Thursday’s December consumer-price index reading and Friday’s high-profile corporate earnings reports — with JPMorgan Chase & Co.
JPM,
-0.03%,
Bank of America Corp.
BAC,
-0.48%,
Citigroup Inc.
C,
-0.75%,
and Wells Fargo & Co.
WFC,
-0.70%
all reporting fourth-quarter results.

“The market is hopeful for continued progress on disinflation, but those are the optimists and that’s the soft-landing story,” said Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson, a Boston-based global investment strategist for Hartford Funds, which managed $123.2 billion in assets as of September.

The market’s shaky beginning to the new year, with all three major stock indexes either down or little changed since Jan. 2, “is reflecting concern that inflation won’t deliver to market expectations, which is for the Fed to cut five or six times this year,” she said via phone. “We would get five or six cuts if it looked like recession fears were reigniting, and so this idea that the Fed is going to deliver these five or six cuts in a perfectly benign environment is optimistic.”

The S&P 500 is just shy of its record closing high of 4,796.56, reached a little over two years ago, after rallying strongly in the last few months on hopes that easing inflation will allow the central bank to lower interest rates sooner and faster than the markets previously anticipated.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury
BX:TMUBMUSD10Y,
the benchmark for borrowing costs, has fallen from 5% in October to 4.035% on Wednesday.

For the market’s bullish narrative to keep playing out, inflation must continue to fall back toward the Fed’s 2% target, emphasizing the importance of December’s CPI figures, which will be published at 8:30 a.m. Eastern time on Thursday.

See: These traders bet on surprise blip higher in key December inflation reading

Economists expect annual headline CPI inflation to inch up to 3.2% last month from 3.1% in November. The core reading, which strips out more volatile items like food and energy, is expected to fall to 3.8% year-over-year from 4% previously.

Adam Phillips, the California-based director of portfolio strategy at EP Wealth Advisors, said the CPI report may give investors enough confidence that disinflation is likely to continue, even if price levels are “still a very long way from anything that is considered healthy.”

However, the economy has certain factors that are beyond the Fed’s control, such as the volatility in supply chains, growing geopolitical risks, and a potential resurgence in inflation, Phillips told MarketWatch via phone on Wednesday.

In U.S. economic data, wholesale inventories declined 0.2% in November, according to the Commerce Department. New York Fed President John Williams will speak in White Plains, N.Y., at 3:15 p.m. Eastern time.

Companies in focus

  • Shares of Boeing Co. 
    BA,
    +1.46%
    edged up 0.8% on Wednesday. Chief executive David Calhoun told employees on Tuesday that the jet maker needed to acknowledge its mistakes after a panel blew off a 737 Max 9 jet flown by Alaska Airlines days earlier, and to approach the matter with “complete transparency.”

  • Crypto-related stocks were mixed a day after Securities and Exchange Commission Chair Gary Gensler denied that the agency had approved spot bitcoin ETFs. Shares of Coinbase Global Inc.
    COIN,
    -0.35%
    were down 0.4%, while MicroStrategy Inc.
    MSTR,
    -0.25%
    was up 0.8% after rebounding from earlier in the day. Prices of bitcoin
    BTCUSD,
    +1.88%
    dropped below $44,500 before rebounding to $46,347 on Wednesday.

  • Shares of Intuitive Surgical Inc.
    ISRG,
    +9.95%
     rallied 9.5% and were on pace for a fourth day of gains in the past five sessions. The maker of robotic surgical equipment said it expects fourth-quarter sales that were above Wall Street’s expectations, helped by a recovery in China.

Jamie Chisholm contributed.


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