Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2024 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Guest Actor/Actress in a Drama/Comedy Series
Weekly Commentary (Updated: June 20, 2024): The competition in the guest comedy actress category is fierce. Jamie Lee Curtis and Sarah Paulson are early favorites for “The Bear,” while Kaitlin Olson and J. Smith Cameron from HBO/Max’s “Hacks” could be dark horses. However, Christina Hendricks, an Emmy darling during her “Mad Men” days, seems poised to return to the fold.
Despite a robust list of contenders, this season’s female “SNL” hosts are in a better spot than their male counterparts. Maya Rudolph and Kristen Wiig seem to be in the best position, with the possibility of Emma Stone, Ayo Edebiri, and Sydney Sweeney.
Rudolph, who won back-to-back trophies in 2020 and 2021, is currently the third most-nominated person in the category’s history with six nominations, behind Cloris Leachman’s eight and Tina Fey’s nine. In addition to her work in the second season of Apple’s comedy “Loot,” she could receive multiple mentions, along with Kristen Wiig, starring in Apple’s “Palm Royale.” However, Wiig has yet to win despite her nine Emmy nods.
“The Bear” episode “Fishes,” which features a heated Christmas dinner flashback of the Berzatto family, is poised to be a goldmine for nominations. Directed by Christopher Storer, who co-wrote the episode with Joanna Calo, “Fishes” showcases talents like John Mulaney, Sarah Paulson, Bob Odenkirk, Gillian Jacobs, Chris Witaske, Jamie Lee Curtis, and Jon Bernthal.
Curtis, riding high two years after her Oscar win for “Everything Everywhere All at Once,” is the undisputed frontrunner in the guest comedy actress race. She is eyeing her second career Emmy nod, bringing her halfway to EGOT status.
Also in the Emmy race are recurring characters like Robert Townsend, who shines as Sydney’s supportive father, Emmanuel. After five decades in Hollywood, his sentimental turn across four episodes could earn him the first Emmy nod of his career. Meanwhile, Emmy nominee Will Poulter (“Dopesick”) makes a strong impression in “Honeydew” as Luca, a dessert chef mentoring Marcus, who could also slip into the fray.
I’d also keep a close eye on Lori Loughlin, who plays a version of herself on “Curb Your Enthusiasm” and could surprise in the lineup.
Nominations-round voting is open from June 13 and closes on June 24 at 10:00 p.m. PT. Voting for peer group-specific top ten round panels (if applicable) takes place between June 28 and July 8. The Emmy nominations will be announced on July 17. The Creative Arts and Governors Gala ceremonies will occur over two nights on Sept. 7-8. The 76th Primetime Emmy Awards will air on ABC on Sunday, Sept. 15.
Read: All Primetime Emmy predictions in every category on Variety’s Awards Circuit.
Guest Actor (Comedy)
Image Credit: Chuck Hodes And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank Performer 1 Jon Bernthal — “The Bear” (FX) 2 Ryan Gosling — “Saturday Night Live” (NBC) 3 John Mulaney — “The Bear” (FX) 4 Jerry Seinfeld — “Curb Your Enthusiasm” (Max) 5 Christopher MacDonald — “Hacks” (Max) 6 Bob Odenkirk — “The Bear” (FX) Next in Line 7 Bradley Cooper — “Abbott Elementary” (ABC) 8 Bruce Dern — “Palm Royale” (Apple TV+) 9 Christopher Lloyd — “Hacks” (Max) 10 Will Poulter — “The Bear” (FX) Outstanding Guest Actor in a Comedy Series Guest Actress (Comedy)
Image Credit: FX And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank Performer 1 Jamie Lee Curtis — “The Bear” (FX) 2 Olivia Colman — “The Bear” (FX) 3 Christina Hendricks — “Hacks” (Max) 4 Maya Rudolph — “Saturday Night Live” (NBC) 5 Kristen Wiig — “Saturday Night Live” (NBC) 6 Sarah Paulson — “The Bear” (FX) Next in Line 7 Gillian Jacobs — “The Bear” (FX) 8 J. Smith Cameron — “Hacks” (Max) 9 Lily Gladstone — “Reservation Dogs” (FX) 10 Lori Loughlin — “Curb Your Enthusiasm” (Max) Outstanding Guest Actress in a Comedy Series Guest Actor (Drama)
Image Credit: Prime Video And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank Performer 1 Néstor Carbonell — “Shōgun” (FX) 2 Michael Emerson — “Fallout” (Prime Video) 3 John Turturro — “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video) 4 Ron Perlman — “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video) 5 Corbin Bernsen — “The Curse” (Showtime) Next in Line 6 Michael Braugher — “The Gilded Age” (Max) 7 Sam Waterston — “Law & Order” (NBC) 8 Jesse Tyler Ferguson — “Elsbeth” (CBS) 9 Tracy Letts — “Winning Time: The Rise of the Lakers Dynasty” (Max) 10 Wagner Moura — “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video) Outstanding Guest Actor in a Drama Series Guest Actress (Drama)
Image Credit: Courtesy of Alex Bailey/Netflix And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank Performer 1 Claire Foy — “The Crown” (Netflix) 2 Marcia Gay Harden — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 3 Yûko Miyamoto — “Shōgun” (FX) 4 Sharon Horgan — “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video) 5 Michaela Coel — “Mr. and Mrs. Smith” (Prime Video) Next in Line 6 Glenn Close — “The New Look” (Apple TV+) 7 Jane Krakowski — “Elsbeth” (CBS) 8 Zine Tseng — “3 Body Problem” (Netflix) 9 Natalie Morales — “The Morning Show” (Apple TV+) 10 Sophie Okonedo — “The Wheel of Time” (Prime Video) Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series Eligible Performers (Guest Acting)
Image Credit: HBO / Max More Information (Guest Acting)
Image Credit: John Johnson/HBO 2023 category winners:
Guest Comedy Actor: Sam Richardson – “Ted Lasso” (Apple TV+)
Guest Comedy Actress: Judith Light — “Poker Face” (Peacock)
Guest Drama Actor: Nick Offerman — “The Last of Us” (HBO)
Guest Drama Actress: Storm Reid — “The Last of Us” (HBO)2024 Emmy Awards Calendar and Timeline (all dates are subject to change)
- Eligibility period: June 1, 2023 – May 31, 2024
- Feb. 29: Submissions open
- May 9: Deadline for programs identifying as Primetime programming to upload all entry materials.
- June 13: Nominations-round voting begins
- June 24: Nominations-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PT
- June 28 – July 8: Voting for peer group-specific top ten rounds panels (if applicable)
- July 17: Primetime Emmy nominations are announced.
- July 24: Deadline for errors and omissions to the nominations.
- August 5: Find-round videos available for viewing.
- August 15: Final-round voting begins.
- August 26: Final-round voting ends at 10:00 p.m. PST.
- Sept. 7-8: Creative Arts Emmy Awards and Governors Gala
- Sunday, Sept. 15: 76th Primetime Emmy Awards to air on ABC.
Emmy Prediction Categories
Drama Comedy Limited/Movie Drama Series Comedy Series Limited or Anthology Series Lead Actor (Drama) Lead Actor (Comedy) Lead Actor (Limited, Movie) Lead Actress (Drama) Lead Actress (Comedy) Lead Actress (Limited, Movie) Supporting Actor (Drama) Supporting Actor (Comedy) Supporting Actor (Limited, Movie) Supporting Actress (Drama) Supporting Actress (Comedy) Supporting Actress (Limited, Movie) Directing, Writing (Drama) Directing, Writing (Comedy) Directing, Writing (Limited, Movie) Guest Acting (Drama) Guest Acting (Comedy) Television Movie Talk Series & Scripted Variety Game Show/Host Reality Programs Documentary (Series, Special, Hosted Nonfiction, Exceptional Merit) Variety Special (Live, Pre-Recorded) Animation/Voice-Over 2024 Primetime Emmy Prediction Categories About the Primetime Emmy Awards
The Primetime Emmy Awards, commonly known as the Emmys, are awarded by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Established in 1949, these celebrate outstanding achievements in American primetime television. The Emmys are categorized into three divisions: the Primetime Emmy Awards for performance and production excellence; the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards, recognizing achievements in artistry and craftsmanship; and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards, which honor significant engineering and technological advancements. The eligibility period typically extends from June 1 to May 31 each year. The Television Academy hosts the Emmys and has over 20,000 members across 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans and executives.
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