NFL betting notes – Jalen Hurts remarkable at home

The 2022 NFL postseason is essentially the most vast open it has ever been coming into Convention Championship week. For the primary time in over 45 seasons, no staff has +200 or shorter title odds coming into Convention Championship week. All 4 remaining groups have comparable title odds, and that’s mirrored on this week’s betting traces.

For the third time within the Tremendous Bowl period, neither Convention Championship sport has a staff favored by no less than three factors. It has occurred twice beforehand, in 1997 and 1982. Not solely that, each convention favorites have flipped within the final week. Final week, San Francisco and Kansas Metropolis have been favored to win their respective conferences. Regardless of each groups profitable final week, each at the moment are underdogs this week.

Kansas Metropolis had been favored in 14 straight playoff video games coming into this week (the longest streak within the Tremendous Bowl period), together with all 12 begins by Patrick Mahomes. Now they’re residence underdogs for simply the second time in Mahomes’ profession. Kansas Metropolis additionally closed as a street favourite in Cincinnati earlier this season. It’s the second time within the Tremendous Bowl period {that a} staff has been a street favourite in a regular-season assembly after which a house underdog in a playoff rematch.

Whereas the largest motive for the road transfer is Patrick Mahomes’ harm standing, the 2 groups have additionally gone in reverse instructions towards the unfold just lately. Cincinnati is 21-5 ATS in its final 26 video games, together with 13-3 ATS in its previous 16 video games. Joe Burrow is a staggering 18-1 ATS in his previous 19 video games as a favourite of beneath seven factors. In the meantime, Kansas Metropolis is 7-11 ATS this season, the worst ATS proportion by any staff coming into the Convention Championship sport since 1997.

Within the late sport Sunday, Kyle Shanahan places his 7-1 ATS mark within the playoffs on the road in Philadelphia. San Francisco has received 12 straight video games, going 10-2 ATS in that span, together with 6-1 ATS with Brock Purdy beneath middle. Nonetheless, this is able to be the primary time Purdy is an underdog. On the opposite facet, Jalen Hurts is an ideal 7-0 ATS in his profession as a single-digit residence favourite.

• San Francisco is 13-6 ATS this season (unders: 11-8). Philadelphia is 9-9 ATS this season (overs: 10-8).

• Kyle Shanahan is 7-1 ATS in playoff video games, tied with Doug Pederson for the perfect ATS report of any coach within the Tremendous Bowl period (minimal three video games). He’s 7-0 ATS in playoff video games previous to the Tremendous Bowl. San Francisco has coated 5 straight playoff video games, the longest energetic streak by any staff.

• Brock Purdy is 6-1 ATS in his profession as a starter, all as a favourite. It ties the fifth-longest favourite streak to start a profession by any quarterback because the 1970 merger (together with playoffs).

• San Francisco has received 12 straight video games, going 10-2 ATS in that stretch, together with 9-1 ATS in its previous 10 video games.

• Kyle Shanahan is 19-10 ATS as a street underdog, together with 12-3 ATS since 2019.

• San Francisco is 12-2 ATS towards convention opponents this season.

• Jalen Hurts is 9-2-1 ATS as a house favourite in his profession, together with 7-0 ATS as a single-digit residence favourite.

• 5 straight Philadelphia playoff video games have gone beneath the whole.

• Overs are 12-4-1 prior to now 17 NFC Championship video games.

• Unders have been 2-0 in convention championship video games final season after going 8-2 within the earlier 5 years.

• Underdogs are 7-3 ATS in convention championship video games prior to now 5 seasons.

• Cincinnati is 13-5 ATS this season (unders: 10-7-1). Kansas Metropolis is 7-11 ATS this season (unders: 10-8). Kansas Metropolis’s 11 ATS losses are essentially the most by any staff coming into the convention championship sport within the Tremendous Bowl period, and it’s the worst ATS proportion by any staff coming into the sport since 1997 (Inexperienced Bay). Not one of the earlier 5 groups to have cowl percentages under .400 coming into the convention championship sport have gone on to win the Tremendous Bowl and solely 1997 Inexperienced Bay even reached the sport.

• Patrick Mahomes is a house underdog on Sunday (as of now) for simply the second time in his profession (misplaced by 4 as 2.5-point residence underdog vs Buffalo in Week 6). Coming into this week, he had been favored in 47 of his 48 residence begins, the second-highest proportion of any QB with no less than 25 begins within the Tremendous Bowl period (together with playoffs). Solely Roger Staubach (66 of 67 begins) has a better proportion of residence begins favored in (minimal 25 begins).

• Kansas Metropolis has been favored in 14 straight playoff video games coming into this week, the longest streak by any staff within the Tremendous Bowl period. Patrick Mahomes has by no means been a playoff underdog. He’s the primary quarterback within the Tremendous Bowl period to be favored in every of his first 12 playoff begins coming into this week. His 12-game playoff favourite streak is tied for the second-longest streak within the Tremendous Bowl period.

• No staff has been a house underdog in a Convention Championship sport since 2017 Philadelphia. The earlier two residence underdogs in convention championships received the sport outright (Philadelphia beat Minnesota as a 3-point underdog in 2017, Denver beat New England as a 3-point underdog in 2015).

• Kansas Metropolis was a 2.5-point street favourite in Cincinnati in Week 13 when the 2 groups met throughout the common season. Now, Kansas Metropolis is a house underdog of their playoff assembly. It’s the second time within the Tremendous Bowl period {that a} staff has been a street favourite towards an opponent within the common season after which a house underdog for a playoff rematch. The opposite time was within the Wild Card Spherical this season, when Dallas was a street favourite in Tampa Bay within the playoffs after being a house underdog in Week 1.

• Cincinnati is 21-5 ATS in its previous 26 video games together with playoffs. Cincinnati is 13-5 ATS this season (second-best) and 27-12 ATS because the begin of final season.

• Cincinnati is 19-1 ATS in its previous 20 video games when not laying no less than seven factors with seven straight covers (Joe Burrow: 18-1 ATS in span).

• Cincinnati has coated 5 straight street video games (8-2 ATS on street this season).

• Joe Burrow is 5-1 ATS in his playoff profession (4-0 ATS as underdog, 1-1 ATS as favourite).

• Joe Burrow is 3-0 outright towards Patrick Mahomes, all as an underdog.

• Kansas Metropolis is 2-11 ATS in convention video games this season.

• Kansas Metropolis is 0-4 ATS with greater than six days of relaxation this season.