The Week 12 NFL schedule for the 2022 season begins with three Thanksgiving Day matchups, and we have you coated with what it is advisable to know. Our NFL Nation reporters deliver us the keys to each sport and a daring prediction for every matchup.
Moreover, ESPN Stats & Data gives a giant stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, and our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a sport projection. ESPN researcher Kyle Soppe arms out useful fantasy soccer intel as properly. Lastly, Seth Walder and Eric Moody give us remaining rating picks for all three contests. All the pieces you wish to know is right here in a single spot that will help you prepare for a loaded afternoon of NFL soccer.
Let’s get into the total Thanksgiving Day slate, together with Josh Allen in opposition to the Lions and an NFC East matchup between the Giants and Cowboys. The football-packed vacation culminates with a battle between the Patriots and Vikings. Who will take one other step nearer to the postseason with a win Thursday?
Soar to a matchup:
BUF-DET | NYG-DAL | NE-MIN
12:30 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: BUF -9 (54)
What to observe for: After a 1-6 begin, the red-hot Lions try to increase a uncommon three-game win streak of their first nationally televised matchup of the season. However the Payments are one of many hardest groups within the league and are already accustomed to Ford Subject, having simply performed within the Motor Metropolis after a snowstorm compelled them to modify websites in Week 11. The vacation showdown could possibly be a shootout with each groups ranked within the prime six in factors per sport, yards per sport and yards per play by 10 contests. — Eric Woodyard
Daring prediction: Payments quarterback Josh Allen could have a full get-right sport, throwing for 300-plus yards and dashing for no less than 50 extra. After a bumpy first half in opposition to the Browns, he had a robust second-half efficiency within the win, finishing 81.8% of his passes and throwing for 10.3 yards per try. The Lions’ protection has allowed probably the most yards per sport (415.9) and per passing try (8.1) within the NFL. The Payments’ offense started transferring in the suitable route over the ultimate two quarters Sunday, and taking part in the Lions will likely be a giant alternative for an entire efficiency. — Alaina Getzenberg
Stat to know: The Lions are in search of their third straight sport with 30 factors, which might be their longest single-season streak since 1997. A giant purpose they’re piling up factors is working again Jamaal Williams, whose 12 dashing TDs this yr are probably the most within the NFL and the sixth-most in a single season in franchise historical past. Williams now has 5 video games with a number of dashing touchdowns in 2022, tied for probably the most in a season by a Lions participant since 1950.
Accidents: Payments | Lions
What to know for fantasy: Buffalo working again Devin Singletary has reached 15 fantasy factors 3 times this season, and two of these situations have come up to now two weeks. He has 133 whole dashing yards (66.5 per sport) and three dashing TDs over his previous two video games. See Week 12 rankings.
Betting nugget: Since 2004, Detroit is 3-11 in opposition to the unfold and 0-14 outright as an underdog on Thanksgiving. Detroit’s final upset win on Thanksgiving occurred in 2003 in opposition to Inexperienced Bay (+7). Learn extra.
Thanksgiving Day throwback: On Thanksgiving in 1997, Detroit working again Barry Sanders rushed for 167 yards and three touchdowns in opposition to the Bears in a 55-20 win for the Lions. Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Payments 31, Lions 20
Walder’s decide: Payments 34, Lions 17
FPI prediction: BUF, 82.7% (by a mean of 11.2 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Payments credit score Buffalo group after win: ‘That was for you’ … Williams taking main position throughout Lions’ win streak
4:30 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: DAL -9 (44.5)
What to observe for: The Cowboys have received 5 straight in opposition to New York at AT&T Stadium and 11 of 12 general in opposition to their NFC East rivals. This would be the two groups’ first Thanksgiving assembly since 1992, a 30-3 Dallas win. However the vacation has not been type to the Cowboys of late. They’ve misplaced three straight Thanksgiving Day video games, their longest such streak since dropping 4 in a row from 1986 to 1989. — Todd Archer
Daring prediction: Giants working again Saquon Barkley will rush for 140-plus yards to maintain the sport shut. The shorthanded Giants could have no selection however to depend on Barkley much more than traditional. It might work in opposition to a Dallas protection whose weak point is stopping the run. The Cowboys are ranked twenty sixth in dashing protection (136.1 yards in opposition to per sport), and Barkley already has two video games with 30 or extra carries and 140-plus yards. Make it three. — Jordan Raanan
Stat to know: No quarterback throws touchdowns at the next price in opposition to the blitz because the begin of final season than the Cowboys’ Dak Prescott (11.4%). He has thrown 25 such touchdowns in that timeframe, most within the NFL. That could possibly be a problem for New York on Thursday. The Giants deliver the blitz on the NFL’s highest price (43%).
Accidents: Giants | Cowboys
What to know for fantasy: Dallas working again Tony Pollard has gained 464 yards on his 61 touches over the previous three video games, whereas backfield mate Ezekiel Elliott has picked up 241 yards on his previous 61 touches. Pollard additionally has six scrimmage touchdowns since Week 8, tied for probably the most within the NFL over that span with Jamaal Williams. His 4 straight video games with 100 yards from scrimmage can be the longest energetic streak within the league. See Week 12 rankings.
Stephania Bell and Subject Yates break down the fantasy outputs of Tony Pollard and Ezekiel Elliott.
Betting nugget: Since 2020, New York is 7-0 in opposition to the unfold in short-rest video games — and all have been with Daniel Jones as its beginning quarterback. Learn extra.
Thanksgiving Day throwback: In 1982, Giants defensive finish Lawrence Taylor intercepted Lions quarterback Gary Danielson within the fourth quarter and took it again 97 yards to the home for the go-ahead — and eventual game-winning — landing. Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Cowboys 28, Giants 21
Walder’s decide: Cowboys 24, Giants 20
FPI prediction: DAL, 87.2% (by a mean of 13.6 factors)
Matchup must-reads: What does Jones must show to be a part of the Giants’ future? … The place do Cowboys’ Elliott, Pollard rank amongst elite RB duos? … Had been the Giants uncovered in Week 11? … Giants WR Robinson out for season with torn ACL … What’s Chef Hoppie cooking up for Cowboys’ stars on Thanksgiving
8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Unfold: MIN -2.5 (42)
What to observe for: The Patriots have had their manner with Vikings quarterback Kirk Cousins in two matchups in opposition to him, beating his groups each occasions and holding him to a mean of 5.0 yards per try — his lowest in opposition to any group he has confronted in a number of video games. This season, the Patriots are fielding the type of protection that provides him hassle, too. They’re producing strain on 34% of opponents’ dropbacks, the third-highest price within the NFL. The Vikings will likely be taking part in with out standout left deal with Christian Darrisaw (concussion), and Cousins’ QBR has dropped 60 factors when beneath strain in 2022. — Kevin Seifert
Daring prediction: Quarterback Mac Jones and the Patriots’ struggling purple zone offense — which ranks thirty first within the NFL by way of TD proportion (12 in 28 journeys, 42.9%) — will escape of a stoop and rating twice from contained in the 20-yard line. That’s an space the place the Vikings have struggled to defend, as they rank final within the NFL in opponents’ landing proportion (20 TDs in opposition to in 28 journeys, 71.4%). — Mike Reiss
Stat to know: The Patriots have allowed 17 or fewer factors in all six of their wins this season (0-4 when permitting greater than 17 factors), and so they’ve now gone two straight video games with out permitting a landing. New England has gone three straight with out a TD in opposition to as soon as earlier than in franchise historical past (2018-2019), and the Vikings failed to attain a landing in Week 11 for the primary time of their previous 93 video games.
Accidents: Patriots | Vikings
What to know for fantasy: Vikings receiver Justin Jefferson managed simply 6.3 fantasy factors final week within the blowout loss to the Cowboys after clearing 15 in every of his six prior video games. The final time he did not catch 5 passes in a sport was Week 3, and he adopted that dud up with consecutive double-digit catch efforts. See Week 12 rankings.
Betting nugget: Minnesota (4-5-1 ATS) and Kansas Metropolis (4-6 ATS) are the third and fourth groups up to now 20 seasons to begin 8-2 or higher outright however have shedding data in opposition to the unfold (2018 Rams, 2012 Ravens). Learn extra.
Thanksgiving Day throwback: In 1998, Vikings receiver Randy Moss caught three passes for 163 yards in opposition to the Cowboys — and all three went for touchdowns. Learn extra.
Moody’s decide: Vikings 24, Patriots 14
Walder’s decide: Vikings 27, Patriots 19
FPI prediction: MIN, 62.6% (by a mean of three.7 factors)
Matchup must-reads: Patriots’ punt return TD with seconds remaining stuns Jets … After one of many worst losses ever for an 8-1 group, the Vikings’ narrative shifts once more … Patriots hope to ‘flip the change’ in purple zone and rating extra TDs … Jefferson, Vikings look to regroup after ’embarrassing’ loss