A voter casts their poll at a safe poll drop field on the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Heart in Phoenix, Nov. 1, 2022.
Matt York/AP
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Matt York/AP
A voter casts their poll at a safe poll drop field on the Maricopa County Tabulation and Election Heart in Phoenix, Nov. 1, 2022.
Matt York/AP
As predicted, Election Day has kicked off the subsequent section of this Election Season — with a number of shut races within the Home but to be determined and management of the Senate probably not identified for a couple of month with a Dec. 6 runoff in Georgia.
Observe election outcomes for Home, Senate, governors and different races right here.
Here is the place issues stand, by the numbers (as of Wednesday, 8:30 p.m. ET):
The Senate: Republicans 48, Democrats 46, Independents 2, Uncalled 4
For management of the Senate, Democrats are +1 with their flip of the Pennsylvania Senate race. Meaning Republicans want to select up two of the three undecided aggressive races to take management of the Senate.
What’s left:
- Georgia: Incumbent Raphael Warnock (D) and Republican challenger Herschel Walker (R) are headed to a Dec. 6 runoff as a result of neither surpassed 50% on the poll. Warnock seems to have narrowly missed getting there, reaching 49.4% with 86% of the vote in.
- Arizona: Incumbent Mark Kelly (D) leads Republican challenger Blake Masters (R) 51% to 47% however with simply 67% of the vote in. Arizona had voting points in its largest county, Maricopa, early within the day Tuesday, and sure will not end counting votes till Friday. The race is unlikely to be determined till no less than then. There’s additionally an automated recount that might get triggered if the margin is inside 0.5 share factors. It isn’t there, however the margin may very properly get significantly tighter.
- Nevada: Adam Laxalt (R) leads incumbent Catherine Cortez Masto (D) by roughly 3 share factors, or about 23,000 votes, with 77% of the voting in. So much may change, as there’s a substantial quantity of vote left to depend, together with about 27,000 ballots nonetheless in closely Democratic Clark County (Las Vegas), plus an unspecified variety of dropbox votes there, in addition to mail and dropped off ballots in Washoe County (Reno).
- Alaska: This isn’t a seat that might be a flip, as a result of each candidates are Republicans, however incumbent Lisa Murkowski trails Kelly Tshibaka by simply over 3,000 votes with greater than 185,000 votes solid. Solely 75% of the vote is in, so quite a bit will change.Â
The Home: Republicans 207, Democrats 183, Uncalled 45
For management of the Home, both occasion wants to achieve 218 seats. Republicans have to win 11 extra for management, or 24% of the remaining uncalled seats. When all is alleged and finished, Republicans will want a internet achieve of 5 seats to take management. They’re nonetheless on a path to do this, however with a possible smaller majority than they had been anticipating.
The maths:
Republicans have flipped 13 and are main in 4 others for a complete of 17.
Democrats have flipped 5 and are main in 5 others for a complete of 10.
- That is a internet achieve of R+8 at present.Â
- The vary at this level seems to be about R+7 to 14, which might give them only a 2- to 12-seat majority.
NOTE: Please take into account that these numbers are fluid and can change as vote continues to roll in.
Democrats have an outdoors shot at holding the Home at this level, however must see a shift in some races the place Republicans are main, however have not but been known as.
